Profitability Drivers and Firm Value in Indonesian State-Owned Banks: The Moderating Role of Firm Size

Authors

  • Herdian Wibawa Universitas Pasundan Bandung, Indonesia
  • Jaja Suteja Universitas Pasundan Bandung, Indonesia
  • Atang Hermawan Universitas Pasundan Bandung, Indonesia

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.61987/jemr.v5i4.2812

Keywords:

State-Owned Banks, Profitability, Firm Value, Firm Size, Credit Risk, Panel Data

Abstract

This study examines the determinants of profitability, the effect of profitability on firm value, and the moderating role of firm size in Indonesian state-owned banks. State-owned banks are strategically important because their financial performance supports intermediation, public confidence, and national economic development. During 2014-2024, these banks faced regulatory change, digitalization, pandemic disruption, credit restructuring, and uneven profitability recovery. This quantitative causal ex-post facto study used secondary data from five state-owned banks listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange, producing 55 bank-year observations. Panel-data regression and moderated regression analysis were conducted using EViews 13 at a 5% significance level. Liquidity positively affected profitability. Leverage also had a positive effect on profitability. Credit risk significantly reduced profitability and emerged as the most urgent managerial concern. Asset growth positively contributed to profitability. BOPO significantly reduced profitability, confirming the importance of operating efficiency. Profitability significantly increased firm value, while firm size strengthened this relationship as a quasi moderator. These findings emphasize integrated liquidity, funding, credit-risk, growth, and efficiency management. They also provide guidance for managers, regulators, and investors in strengthening sustainable performance and market valuation.

References

Abadi, A. R. D., & Lutfi, L. (2025). Liquidity Risk and the Impact of Credit Growth on Profitability in Rural Banks: The Moderating Role of Bank Size. Golden Ratio of Finance Management, 5(2), 587–599. https://doi.org/10.52970/grfm.v5i2.1569

Akhtar, M., Yusheng, K., Haris, M., Ain, Q. U., & Javaid, H. M. (2022). Impact of Financial Leverage on Sustainable Growth, Market Performance, and Profitability. Economic Change and Restructuring, 55(2), 737–774. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10644-021-09321-z

Alkhazali, O., Helmi, M. H., Mirzaei, A., & Saad, M. (2024). The Impact of Capital on Bank Profitability during the COVID-19 Pandemic. Global Finance Journal, 62, 100994. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfj.2024.100994

Apriani, E. S., Putri, S. E., & Ramli, R. (2023). The Effect of Credit Risk, Liquidity Risk, and Operational Risk on Profitability in Conventional Banks Listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange during 2019–2021. MEC-J: Management and Economics Journal.

Ardhianti, C., & Lutfi, L. (2025). The Interplay of Macroeconomic Factor, Risk, and Bank Market Value: The Mediating Effect of Profitability and the Moderating Role of Size. Inventory: Jurnal Akuntansi, 9(1). https://doi.org/10.25273/inventory.v9i1.22248

Arhinful, R., Mensah, L., Gyamfi, B. A., & Obeng, H. A. (2025). The Impact of Non-Performing Loans on Bank Growth: The Moderating Roles of Bank Size and Capital Adequacy Ratio—Evidence from US Banks. International Journal of Financial Studies, 13(3), 165. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijfs13030165

Bolívar, F., Durán, M. A., & Lozano-Vivas, A. (2023). Bank Business Models, Size, and Profitability. Finance Research Letters, 53, 103605. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2022.103605

Cahyani, N. K. S. I., Pradnyani, N. L. P. S. P., & Artaningrum, R. G. (2023). The Effect of Profitability, Liquidity, and Company Size on Company Value in the Banking Subsector. International Journal of Pertapsi, 1(1), 32–40. https://doi.org/10.9744/ijp.1.1.32-40

Dang, V. D., & Nguyen, H. C. (2022). Bank Profitability under Uncertainty. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 83, 119–134. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.qref.2021.12.001

Diener, F., & Špaček, M. (2021). Digital Transformation in Banking: A Managerial Perspective on Barriers to Change. Sustainability, 13(4), 2032. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13042032

Ferriswara, D., Sayidah, N., & Buniarto, E. A. (2022). Do Corporate Governance, Capital Structure Predict Financial Performance and Firm Value? Empirical Study of Jakarta Islamic Index. Cogent Business & Management, 9(1), 2147123. https://doi.org/10.1080/23311975.2022.2147123

Gujarati, D. N. (2021). Essentials of Econometrics. Sage Publications.

Gupta, P. (2026). Mandatory TCFD Disclosure and Corporate Financial Performance: Evidence from UK Non-Financial Firms. Business Strategy and the Environment, 35(3), 3826–3842. https://doi.org/10.1002/bse.70374

Haris, M., Yao, H., & Fatima, H. (2024). The Impact of Liquidity Risk and Credit Risk on Bank Profitability during COVID-19. PLOS ONE, 19(9), e0308356. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0308356

Heizer, J., Render, B., & Munson, C. (2023). Operations Management: Sustainability and Supply Chain Management (14th ed.). Pearson.

Keter, C. K. S., Cheboi, J. Y., & Kosgei, D. (2024). Financial Performance, Intellectual Capital Disclosure and Firm Value: The Winning Edge. Cogent Business & Management, 11(1), 2302468. https://doi.org/10.1080/23311975.2024.2302468

Mousa, R., Nabil, J., Safty, A., Hassan, I., & Ibrahim, Y. (2025). Liquidity-Credit Risk Dynamics and Bank Profitability: Hybrid Econometric and Machine Learning Evidence from MENA. Journal of Financial Reporting and Accounting, 1–27. https://doi.org/10.1108/JFRA-04-2025-0291

Niu, J. (2024). Liquidity Hoarding and Bank Profitability: The Role of Economic Policy Uncertainty. Finance Research Letters, 68, 106003. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2024.106003

Nurhikmayati, I., Priatna, N., Dahlan, J. A., & Minasyan, S. (2024). An Ex Post Facto Study of Critical Thinking Skills in Mathematics Learning Based on School Geography. Al-Jabar: Jurnal Pendidikan Matematika, 15(1), 15–31. https://doi.org/10.24042/ajpm.v15i1.19330

Rodriguez, M. (2024). Trade-Off and Pecking Order Theories in Corporate Financing: Insights from Argentina. Journal of Business and Economic Options, 7(4), 23–32.

Rohwer, D. (2022). Designing Ex Post Facto and Experimental Studies. In Inquiry in Music Education (pp. 230–252). Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781003057703-15

Saif-Alyousfi, A. Y. H., Alsadan, A., & Alalmaee, H. (2025). Profitability and Capital Intensity: Moderating Role of Debt Financing. Economies, 13(11), 324. https://doi.org/10.3390/economies13110324

Salas, M. B., Lamothe, P., Delgado, E., Fernández-Miguélez, A. L., & Valcarce, L. (2024). Determinants of Nonperforming Loans: A Global Data Analysis. Computational Economics, 64(5), 2695–2716. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10614-023-10543-8

Shen, C., Wu, J., Li, Y., & Chen, Q. (2025). Does Digital Transformation Improve the Cost Efficiency of Commercial Banks? Evidence from China. Finance Research Letters, 73, 106619. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2024.106619

Sukendri, N., Muktiyanto, A., Geraldina, I., & Safitri, J. (2024). Agency Theory in Banking: Balancing Incentives and Mitigating Moral Hazard in the Principal-Agent Dilemma. Pakistan Journal of Life and Social Sciences, 22(2). https://doi.org/10.57239/PJLSS-2024-22.2.001627

Yasar, B., Martin, T., & Kiessling, T. (2020). An Empirical Test of Signalling Theory. Management Research Review, 43(11), 1309–1335. https://doi.org/10.1108/MRR-08-2019-0338

Yudaruddin, R., Soedarmono, W., Nugroho, B. A., Fitrian, Z., Mardiany, M., Purnomo, A. H., & Santi, E. N. (2023). Financial Technology and Bank Stability in an Emerging Market Economy. Heliyon, 9(5), e16183. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e16183

Yudaruddin, R., Nugroho, B. A., Mardiany, M., Fitrian, Z., Hapsari, P., Fitrianto, Y., & Santi, E. N. (2024). Liquidity and Credit Risk in Indonesia: The Role of FinTech Development. SAGE Open, 14(2). https://doi.org/10.1177/21582440241245248

Yuliyanti, L., Waspada, I., Sari, M., & Nugraha, N. (2022). The Effect of Liquidity, Leverage, and Profitability on Firm Value with Firm Size as Moderating Variable. In Proceedings of the 6th Global Conference on Business, Management, and Entrepreneurship (GCBME 2021) (pp. 88–92). Atlantis Press. https://doi.org/10.2991/aebmr.k.220701.019

Downloads

Published

2026-07-25

How to Cite

Wibawa, H., Suteja, J., & Hermawan, A. (2026). Profitability Drivers and Firm Value in Indonesian State-Owned Banks: The Moderating Role of Firm Size. Journal of Educational Management Research, 5(4), 5065–5080. https://doi.org/10.61987/jemr.v5i4.2812

Issue

Section

Articles